Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 7.661220e-05 0.000091 0.000107 0.000125 0.000145 0.000166 0.000191
2025-02-23 5.755670e-05 0.000076 0.000098 0.000124 0.000155 0.000190 0.000231
2025-03-02 4.547092e-05 0.000065 0.000090 0.000120 0.000158 0.000201 0.000255
2025-03-09 3.584030e-05 0.000056 0.000082 0.000117 0.000160 0.000212 0.000277
2025-03-16 3.009457e-05 0.000051 0.000079 0.000116 0.000165 0.000225 0.000302
2025-03-23 2.559075e-05 0.000047 0.000076 0.000117 0.000172 0.000240 0.000329
2025-03-30 2.152472e-05 0.000042 0.000072 0.000116 0.000176 0.000251 0.000351
2025-04-06 1.747370e-05 0.000037 0.000067 0.000113 0.000176 0.000257 0.000367
2025-04-13 1.515312e-05 0.000035 0.000066 0.000114 0.000182 0.000271 0.000392
2025-04-20 1.185370e-05 0.000030 0.000060 0.000109 0.000179 0.000273 0.000402
2025-04-27 1.001548e-05 0.000028 0.000058 0.000108 0.000182 0.000283 0.000422
2025-05-04 8.464118e-06 0.000025 0.000056 0.000108 0.000186 0.000292 0.000443
2025-05-11 7.553759e-06 0.000025 0.000057 0.000112 0.000197 0.000314 0.000480
2025-05-18 6.280509e-06 0.000023 0.000055 0.000113 0.000203 0.000329 0.000510
2025-05-25 4.608462e-06 0.000019 0.000051 0.000108 0.000201 0.000332 0.000523
2025-06-01 3.444150e-06 0.000017 0.000047 0.000106 0.000201 0.000339 0.000541
2025-06-08 2.688669e-06 0.000015 0.000045 0.000105 0.000204 0.000349 0.000564
2025-06-15 2.170301e-06 0.000014 0.000044 0.000106 0.000210 0.000363 0.000593
2025-06-22 1.635596e-06 0.000013 0.000042 0.000105 0.000212 0.000373 0.000615
2025-06-29 1.128143e-06 0.000011 0.000040 0.000102 0.000211 0.000377 0.000630
2025-07-06 8.752151e-07 0.000010 0.000039 0.000103 0.000216 0.000391 0.000658
2025-07-13 5.163248e-07 0.000008 0.000035 0.000098 0.000212 0.000390 0.000665
2025-07-20 3.550065e-07 0.000008 0.000034 0.000097 0.000215 0.000400 0.000688